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中国成年人气流受限与慢性病主要死亡风险的前瞻性研究
  • ISSN号:0254-6450
  • 期刊名称:《中华流行病学杂志》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:R563.3[医药卫生—呼吸系统;医药卫生—临床医学;医药卫生—内科学]
  • 作者机构:[1]北京大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系,100191, [2]中国医学科学院,北京100730, [3]国家食品安全风险评估中心,北京100022, [4]牛津大学临床试验中心和流行病研究中心/纳菲尔德人群健康部,OX12JD, [5]中国慢性病前瞻性研究项目协作组
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金(81390544,81390541);香港Kadoorie Charitable基金;英国Wellcome Trust(088158/Z/09/Z,104085/Z/14/Z)
中文摘要:

目的 探讨气流受限与慢性病总死亡和死因别死亡风险间的关联性。方法 基于中国慢性病前瞻性研究项目,剔除基线自报患有心脏病、脑卒中和恶性肿瘤的个体,共纳入基线时项目地区30-79岁的男女性研究对象各199 099和287 895例。气流受限情况采用COPD全球倡议标准(GOLD)判断。使用Cox比例风险回归模型分析气流受限与死亡之间的关联。结果 平均随访7.2年,累计随访3 494 079人年。21 649例在随访期间死亡。气流正常、GOLD-1-GOLD-4等级的全人群粗死亡率(/1 000人年)分别为5.5、9.9、13.1、32.4和63.3。调整可能的混杂因素后,与气流正常人群相比,GOLD-1-GOLD-4的HR值(95% CI)依次为0.98(0.88-1.09)、1.03(0.97-1.09)、1.62(1.53-1.73)和2.83(2.59-3.10)。气流受限等级上升,缺血性心脏病、脑血管病和COPD的死亡风险也上升。结论 存在气流受限或气流受限程度越严重,个体发生死亡的风险越高。

英文摘要:

Objective To examine the prospective associations between airflow obstruction and total and cause-specific mortality. Methods The study was based on China Kadoorie Biobank, in which 199 099 men and 287 895 women aged 30-79 years at baseline survey were included after excluding those with heart disease, stroke and cancer. The Global Initiative on Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) guideline was used to classify airflow obstruction. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted HR and 95%CI. Results During 3 494 079 person-years of follow-up between 2004 and 2013 (median 7.2 years), a total of 21 649 people died. Absolute mortality rates were 5.5, 9.9, 13.1, 32.4 and 63.3 deaths per 1 000 person-years for participants who had normal airflow, GOLD-1 to GOLD-4 airflow obstruction, respectively. After adjusting potential confounders, compared with participants with normal lung function, the HRs for death were 0.98 (95%CI:0.88-1.09), 1.03 (95%CI:0.97-1.09), 1.62 (95%CI:1.53-1.73) and 2.83 (95%CI:2.59-3.10) for those whose airflow obstruction were classified as GOLD-1 to GOLD-4, respectively. The airflow obstruction was also associated with increased risk for deaths due to ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Conclusion Airflow obstruction is associated with total and certain cause-specific mortality, the higher the airflow obstruction degree is, the higher the death risk is.

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期刊信息
  • 《中华流行病学杂志》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学技术协会
  • 主办单位:中华医学会
  • 主编:
  • 地址:北京昌平区昌百路155号传染病所B115
  • 邮编:102206
  • 邮箱:lxbonly@public3.bta.net.cn
  • 电话:010-58900730
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:0254-6450
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-2338/R
  • 邮发代号:2-73
  • 获奖情况:
  • 1999年预防医学会优秀期刊一等奖,1996年中华医学会中华预防医学会优秀期刊奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),美国生物医学检索系统,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:62798