文章基于中国十大城市群内100个地级以上城市的相关数据,通过构建城镇化水平与城市脆弱性综合评价指标体系,采用因子分析法和Tapio脱钩指数法,实证研究了中国十大城市群及所属城市的城镇化水平与城市脆弱性的脱钩关系,并对其脱钩状态进行判别和分析比较。结果表明:京津冀城市群城镇化水平与城市脆弱性的脱钩状态最理想,辽中南城市群、长三角城市群、山东半岛城市群和川渝城市群均为相对理想的脱钩状态,其他城市群的脱钩状况均不容乐观;在17个中心城市中,仅有洛阳、深圳、成都和西安4个城市的城镇化水平与城市脆弱性的脱钩状态相对乐观,经济发展水平较高的北京、上海和广州3大城市的脱钩状态均不理想。
Based on the related data of 100 cities of/above prefecture-level within China's top ten urban agglomerations and through constructing a comprehensive evaluation index system of urbanization level and urban vulnerability, this paper adopts factor analysis method and Tapio decoupling index method to empirically study the decoupling relationship between urbanization lev- el and urban vulnerability of China's top ten urban agglomerations and their affiliated cities, and then the paper conducts a dis- crimination and comparative analysis on the decoupling state. The result is shown as follows: optimal is the decoupling state of ur- banization level and urban vulnerability in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration; In a relatively ideal decoupling state are Liaoning central-southern urban agglomeration, Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, Shandong Peninsula urban agglomera- tion and Sichuan-Chongqing urban agglomeration, while the decoupling state of other urban agglomerations are not so optimistic. Among the 17 central cities, only four cities' decoupling states of urbanization level and urban vulnerability are relatively optimistic including Luoyang, Shenzhen, Chengdu and Xi'an; the decoupling state of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou are not ideal state in spite of their high-level economic development.