中文摘要：

人口城市化究竟是做大首位城市,还是各城市均衡发展,学术界存在不同观点。笔者基于中国31个省（自治区、直辖市）2001年-2012年数据,建立空间动态模型探索城市化过程中人口集中度对经济增长的影响。空间自回归动态面板数据模型结果表明,人口城市化整体上对经济增长具有促进作用,城市化过程中首位城市规模越大,对本地区经济增长越不利。空间动态杜宾模型估计结果不仅支持空间自回归动态面板模型结果,而且也在一定程度上验证相邻省份城市化水平提升对本地区经济增长有促进作用;相邻省份城市首位度越高,对本地区的经济增长具有负作用;固定资本存量、财政投入对本地区和相邻地区经济增长有促进作用;人力资本对相邻地区经济增长有负作用。

英文摘要：

There are different views about whether to enlarge these primate cities or to balance the development of the cities in academia. This paper tries to set up a spatial dynamic model to explore how population concentration in urbanization affects economic growth which is based on the data of 31 Chinese mainland provinces （municipalities and autonomous regions） during 2001 -2012. The result of spatial autoregressive dynamic panel data model shows that the population urbanization as a whole has a promoting effect on economic growth. The bigger the primate city size in urbanization is, the more damage there is to regional economic growth. The estimated results of Space dynamic Durbin model not only support the spatial autoregressive model＇ s result, but also to some extent, prove that the increasing level of urbanization in adjacent provinces has a promoting effect on regional economic growth. The higher primacy ratio in adjacent province cities, the more negative effects on the region ＇ s economic growth. Fixed capital, financial investment can stimulate the economic growth of the region and adjacent areas. Human capital has a negative effect on the economic growth of adjacent regions.