以1998~2011年北京地铁4号线周边2 000 m内房价为例构建特征价格模型,分析了其对周边房价的时空影响效应及规律,明确了空间影响距离的关键参数。空间影响上,房价随与站点和市中心距离拉大均衰减,最高值出现在距最近站点400~600 m之间。房价并非平均积聚,表现出明显的中关村、动物园、西单三高峰分布。处在二环线以内和二三环之间比其他环线房价分别约高73.1%和56.9%。每靠近中央商务区、主干道和最近站点1 000 m,房价分别上涨约6.4%、36.2%和19.2%。时间影响上,4号线开通前后对房价都有显著影响,运营期明显高于建设期。最后确定影响范围为1 100 m左右。
Taking residential real estate within 2 000 m along Beijing Metro line 4 as an example, HPM model is constructed. The spatio-temporal impacts of 4th line on real estate prices nearby from 1998 to 2011 are quantitatively analyzed, and the key parameters of the spatio-temporal impact are defined. The results are as follows: In terms of spatial impact, the further the real estate is from the city center and subway stations, the lower prices are. And the highest prices appear at areas between 400 and 600 m from the stations. Real estate prices are not of average accumulation, and the three most expensive areas are around the following three places: Zhongguancun, the Zoo and Xidan. Real estate prices within the Second Ring and between the Second and third ring are higher by about 73. 1 and 56. 9 percent on average than the ones within other rings respectively. Real estate prices grow by 6. 4 and 36. 2 and 19. 2 percent respectively for every 1 000 m it is nearer to the CBD, a main road or public transport stations. In terms of time impact, the metro has a significant impact on real estate prices around the time when Line 4 was put in operation. The prices became much higher after Line 4 was put in operation than during construction. According to the final calculation, the impact range of Line 4 on the surrounding real estate prices is about 1 100 m.