本文基于2001年至2009年京津冀区域182个区县制造业29个行业的数据,测算了京津冀区域制造业分工与转移的基本特征,并利用面板计量模型,对两者的关系进行了实证检验。研究得出:(1)京津冀区域制造业的发展呈现明显的差异化特征,三地制造业梯度分工格局正在逐步形成;(2)京津冀区域制造业在区域内部的转移主要从京津走廊向河北东部沿海的唐山、秦皇岛以及河北腹地的冀中南地区转移;(3)京津冀区域制造业的转移主要受到扩散效应的影响,在区县之间由分工的高梯度地区向低梯度地区转移。从分行业来看,技术密集型制造业转移受分工影响程度最大,其次是资本密集型制造业,劳动密集型制造业转移受分工影响最小。
Based on the panel data of 182 districts and counties in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2001 to2009, this paper concentrates on basic features of industrial division and industrial transfer in the BeijingTianjin-Hebei region of different manufacturing industries and tries to explore their relationship using econometric methods. We firstly use Location Quotient and Industrial Similarity Structure Index to quantify industrial division, Then we use three regression models to explore how industrial division impact industrial transfer for the labor-intensive manufacturing industry, capital-intensive manufacturing industry and technique-intensive manufacturing industry respectively. We have three major findings. First of all, between 2001 and2009, a differentiated industrial division pattern between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei were setting up. Beijing was retreating from capital-intense industries while keeping part of technology-intense manufacturing industries. In Tianjin, both capital-intense and technology-intense manufacturing industries were progressing rapidly. Hebei was enhancing its industrial basin with labor-intense industry at the same time growing specific technology-intense manufacturing industries. Our second conclusion is that our paper lies in the moving of manufacturing core areas in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from Beijing City and Tianjin City to coastal areas and broad Hebei hinterland. The last, under the influence of diffusion effect, a gradient characteristic of the division of manufacture in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has gradually come into being, and the main direction is from high-level regions to low-level regions.