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基于博弈论的水库补偿效益可拓分析
  • ISSN号:1001-4675
  • 期刊名称:《干旱区研究》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:P343.3[天文地球—水文科学;天文地球—地球物理学]
  • 作者机构:[1]西安理工大学西北水资源与环境生态教育部重点实验室,陕西西安710048, [2]新疆克拉玛依市环境科研监测中心站,新疆克拉玛依834000
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(40501011); 陕西省教育厅科学研究计划项目(04JK231); 西安理工大学科学研究计划项目(106-210709)
中文摘要:

以黄河干流梯级水库补偿效益分配方案评价为例,尝试将可拓评价方法应用于水库补偿效益评价领域。通过建立多指标的可拓评价模型和评价指标体系,依次确定评价指标体系各等级的经典域、节域,以及待评物元,并针对可拓评价方法中存在的权重不能满足多方参与的不足,采用基于博弈论的综合赋权法确定权重,将评价结果与层次分析法及突变评价法评价结果进行比较。结果表明:与传统方法相比,可拓评价方法在待评方案同时缺水情形下,将增发电量方案设置为最优推荐方案,符合现实需要,满足目标要求,其方法合理、可行,是一种处理复杂的多指标评价问题的有效方法,不仅可以用于水库补偿效益评价,还可用于其他多指标决策问题评价领域研究,具有一定的普适性。

英文摘要:

Extenics is a new subject to solve the contradictory problems.It studies the extensive possibility of things and the rules and methods of exploitation and innovation with formalized model.In recent years,Extenics,combed with other related fields,has produced the Extenics engineering theory and methods for information,control,evaluation,management and cognitive science,and also a series of theoretical finding and application results.Therefore,Extenics can be applied in the evaluation domain because of its properties of quantitative description of the variability about things.Because of the different run tasks,functions and subordinate relationships between upstream to downstream,there are no the balanced interests related to the reservoirs along the Yellow River during the actual operation process.Aiming at this issue,many scholars have used the optimization and simulation models to study compensation benefits of the reservoirs along the Yellow River by considering comprehensively the power supply,water supply and flood control,and many distribution solutions have been gotten.How to evaluate the various distribution programs of compensation benefits is a practical problem that needs to be solved urgently,not only directly related to implementing the programs,but also related to promoting the water regulation program of the Yellow River.In this paper,a case study on the compensation benefits of the reservoirs along the Yellow River is carried out.Based on the Extenics and the substance-element analysis,a multi-index extension evaluation model and its index system is developed,the various levels of the classical field,controlled field and substance element needing to be evaluated are determined,the game theory is used to calculate the weights of evaluation indexes.The results are compared with those of the AHP and catastrophe evaluation.On which six distribution programs of the compensation benefits of reservoirs along the Yellow River are analyzed,calculated and evaluated,and the optimal program is selected.The res

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期刊信息
  • 《干旱区研究》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
  • 主编:李彦
  • 地址:乌鲁木齐北京南路818号
  • 邮编:830011
  • 邮箱:azr@ms.xjb.ac.cn
  • 电话:0991-7885364
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1001-4675
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:65-1095/X
  • 邮发代号:58-37
  • 获奖情况:
  • 2006-2007年度荣获新疆维吾尔自治区优秀科技期刊...
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 英国农业与生物科学研究中心文摘,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:16862