新型城镇化建设鼓励农村剩余劳动力向城市转移,同时农村劳动力转移又进一步加大了对新型城镇化的建设力度,特别对人地关系紧张、劳动力相对过剩的甘肃贫困地区而言,更是资源优化配置的有效途径。文中以甘肃省为数据样本建立空间权重矩阵,并分别基于空间自回归模型和空间Durbin模型进行讨论。最后得出结论:影响甘肃省农村劳动力流动的因素在2003-2009年和2010-2013年之间具有明显差别,而且2010-2013年期间影响因素的显著性水平明显提高。地区经济规模、城乡绝对收入差距、期望的城市收入水平、受教育水平是农村劳动力向非农产业转移的重要因素;城乡绝对收入差距、城市化率是农村劳动力向城市转移的重要因素。
The construction of new urbanization encourages surplus rural labor transferring to cities; while the sustainable development of surplus rural labor transferring steps up a support of construction of new urbanization.It is a favorable way for allocation of resources especially for some poverty-stricken areas in Gansu province with a nervous relationship between people,land and relative surplus of labor. A spatial weights matrix was established on the basis of space adjacent and spherical spatial distance in this study,and a spatial autoregressive model( SAR) and spatial Durbin model were discussed. Finally some conclusions were drawn as follows: The influencing factors are divided into two periods: 2003-2009 and 2010-2013. The economic scale of region,absolute income gap between urban and rural areas,desired income level of urban,and education level were the important factors for rural labor transferring to non-agricultural industries; an absolute income gap between urban and rural areas,and urbanization were the important factors for rural labor migrating to cities.