中文摘要：

专家信息是小子样条件下装备可靠性试验评定中验前信息的重要来源。给出基于证据理论的专家信息融合方法。首先定义了专家信息的一致度，接着利用证据理论计算得到专家信息的权重．然后在不考虑专家信息可信度和相关性的基础上，对专家信息转化成的概率分布进行融合，最后给出了一个应用实例。

英文摘要：

Expert information is an important source for reliability test and estimation of weapon systems under small sample size circumstances. This paper presents a method for aggregating the expert judgments based on the dempstersharer theory. First, we define the degree of consistency between the expert judgments. Second, we compute the priority of each expert judgment using the combination method of the dempster-shafer theory. Then, based on not considering the confidence of the expert judgment and the dependence between them, we aggregate the expert judgments＇probability distributions using the priority of each expert judgment. Finally, a numerical example is given to apply the method.