通过问卷调查了解广州三种不同类型居住区即传统老城区、城中村、商品房小区居民的迁居情况,利用线性回归和多元Logistic回归,对不同类型居住区居民迁居后居住满意度的决定因素和居民迁居意愿产生的影响因素进行了研究。研究发现:不同类型居住区居民迁居后居住满意度的影响因素不同,总体上受社区归属感、住房所有权、设施完善程度影响较大,且与在本居住区居住时间呈负相关关系;迁居意愿的产生受很多因素的综合影响,不同类型居住区迁居意愿的影响因素有所差异。传统老城区家庭总月收入越低,居民对现住房越满意,越不可能产生迁居意愿,男性比女性更容易产生迁居意愿,高学历者更容易产生迁居意愿;城中村居民迁居意愿的产生是多种因素的复杂作用结果,其中社区归属感越强烈,越不可能产生迁居意愿;商品房小区居民的迁居意愿受户主年龄和婚姻状况的影响较大。研究结果表明西方的迁居理论,如生命周期理论并未能完全适用于中国,这与转型期中国城市复杂的住房构成和住房市场机制相关。
With the deepening of housing reform, housing mobility in urban China is on the rise. Extant studies on relocation and relocation intention pay much attention on rural to urban relocation. Yet little is known about intra-urban relocation in Chinese cities. This study attempts to fill this void by presenting a line of empirical ev- idence in three different types of residential neighborhoods in Guangzhou, namely traditional inner city neigh- borhood, urban villages and commodity housing estates. Based on a questionnaire survey in three types of neighborhoods representative of the dominant residential patterns in contemporary Chinese cities, this paper examines the determinants of residential satisfaction and relocation intention of local residents in major urban neighborhoods. Specifically, we first run a linear regression analysis to examine the determinants for residen- tial satisfaction after relocation; we then run a multivariate logistic regression to understand the determinants for residents' relocation intention. Empirical results show that residential satisfaction in the three types of resi- dential neighborhoods are influenced by different factors, but generally shaped by community attachment , housing property and housing facilities; meanwhile, residential satisfaction is negatively associated with resi- dential time. While relocation intention is generated by a combined effect of various factors, and varies in dif- ferent residential neighborhoods. In traditional inner city neighborhoods, residents' relocation intention has something to do with the family income and the residential satisfaction. In the meantime male respondents are more likely to develop relocation intention than female, and residents who have got higher education tend to re- location. The situation is slightly different in urban villages, where residents with weak sense of community prefer to relocate. In addition, the result indicates that household head' s age and marital status significantly af- fect relocation intention in co