停车场停车泊位需求具有周期性、层次性、可预测性,通过对近停车场来自各方向停车数量的统计分析,利用停车需求的规律性对近停车场停车需求做出预测。本文研究了近停车场停车需求预测的方法,详细阐述了停车需求预测的步骤流程,运用指数平滑法建立了预测模型,并且进行了模型参数的选择以及预测结果的获取。近停车场停车需求预测可对制定停车诱导策略和优化不同等级诱导牌个性化显示内容提供数据支持和理论指导。
Parking demand of parking lot is cyclical, gradation, predictability, through the statistical analysis of the parking number coming from each direction nearly parking lot, using the regularity of parking demand can make forecast of nearly parking lot. This pa- per studied the forecasting method of parking demand nearly parking lot, described in detail the forecasting procedures of parking de- mand, accessed the selection of forecasting model and parameter using the exponential smoothing method, and got the prediction results, The parking demand forecasting nearly parking lot provide data support and theoretical guidance for the development of the parking guidance strategy and optimization of the personalized dianlav content of different levels induction card.