本文基于已成熟的彩铃业务运行质量分层评价模型,针对业务质量概念抽象无法直接量化和预测的难题,采用"分而治之"预测思想,面向能够描述业务运行质量的关键性能指标(KPI),设计了一种在KPI粒度实施预测的基础模型。论述内容主要为基于一次移动平均算法对业务KPI执行预测的模型建立过程以及详细的操作步骤说明,并以某省彩铃业务KPI——铃音下载次数为例,探讨了该方法的适用范围和应用价值。
This artical is based on the mature stratifi ed model of CRBT(Color Ring Back Tone) operation quality evaluation,in view of the problems that quality operation s abstractness and can not be directly quantified and forecasting,here using "divide and rule" thought to divide service operation quality perception into several KPI partitions,then give the KPI-oriented basic forecasting model respectively.The main content includes forecasting model established process elaborating with single moving average algorit...