中文摘要：

为了有效减缓我国城市交通因城市化、机动化的快速推进所导致的CO2等温室气体排放量不断急剧增加的趋势,构建以低碳、绿色、环保、高效、低耗、安全为特征的城市低碳交通发展模式。以上海市为例,采用了IPCC2006中的碳排放计算公式,及运用基于我国燃烧热值的CO2排放因子,统计分析了城市交通CO2排放现状,并将其结合城市交通结构进行了相应的分析。研究结果表明：私家车是城市交通能源消耗的较大增长源,同时也是城市交通CO2排放的较大贡献者。最后,为了短期内尽快转变城市交通发展方式,快速有效地构建城市交通低碳发展模式,以减少能源消耗及CO2排放,提出了以慢行交通、公共交通替代私家车出行的减排途径;并通过情景分析评估了不同减排策略的减排效果,为发展以公共交通为主导的交通模式、及节能减排的实施提供了理论依据。

英文摘要：

In order to effectively slow down the constantly and quickly increasing trend of China＇s urban transport emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases due to the rapid progressing of the urbanization and motorization,we need to build a low-carbon urban transport development mode,whose characteristics are low carbon emission,green,environmental friendly,efficient,low energy consumption and safe.Taken Shanghai as an example,by using the carbon dioxide emissions＇ calculation formula of the IPCC 2006 and carbon dioxide emission factors based on China＇s combustion heat values,the status of urban transport＇s carbon dioxide emissions was analyzed statistically.Then this emission status was analyzed combined with urban traffic structure.The results show that private car is a larger growth source of urban traffic energy consumption and a larger contributor of carbon dioxide emissions in the urban transport.Finally,in order to change the urban transport development mode as soon as possible in the short term to achieve the low-carbon urban transport development mode rapidly and to reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions,it is proposed to replace private cars with slow traffic and public transport as effective ways to reduce carbon emission.The effects of the different emission reduction policies were also evaluated by scenario analysis.The research provided a theoretical basis for developing public transport as the leading traffic mode and implementing energy saving and emission reduction.