中文摘要：

本文采用现实与预期的差异测量农村家庭养老弱化程度，利用新疆13个地（州、市）726位农民的调查数据，分析了农村家庭养老弱化的现状及其影响因素。研究结果表明：农村家庭养老已经全面弱化，其中，经济支持弱化了25．0％，生活照料弱化了5．6％，精神慰藉弱化了30．7％。子女数减少弱化了精神慰藉功能，家庭规模缩小弱化了经济支持功能；农村社会养老保险不是弱化而是促进了生活照料和精神慰藉的实现；外出务工弱化了经济支持，促进了精神慰籍的实现。健康状况越差的农民，经济支持和生活照料弱化的概率越小；文化程度越高的农民，经济支持和生活照料弱化的概率越大；家庭存款的增多，弱化了经济支持，促进了生活照料的实现。年龄越大的农民，生活照料和精神慰藉弱化的概率越大，已婚农民经济支持和精神慰藉弱化的概率较小。

英文摘要：

This article analyzes the current shrinking pool of family support for the elderly in rural China and the determinants for this change, using survey data collected from 726 farmers in 13 areas of Xinjiang province. The results show that family support for the older persons has become completely weakened. The degree of financial support has decreased by 25.0%, daily care support by 5.6%, and emotional support by 30.7%. On one hand, the decrease in the number of children has weakened the family support in the aspect of emotional comfort. And the smaller family size has resulted in the weakened family financial support. On the other hand, the rural old-age security system promotes old-age support in the aspect of daffy care and emotional support. Furthermore, farmers with a worse health condition are more likely to receive more family support in the daily care and financial aspects, but farmers with a higher level of education are more likely to receive less financial support and daily care at home. Moreover, the results show that the increase in family savings has weakened financial support yet increased support in daily care. In the meanwhile, the study finds that farmers with a higher age are more likely to receive less daily care and emotional supports from their families, and, on the contrary, married couples are more likely to receive financial and emotional supports at home.