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中文摘要：
基于适应性Agent图的思想,结合航线网络实际特点,以航班延误为切入点,对航线网络系统运行的稳定性进行研究,并针对台风这一特定情景下的航线网络失稳情况进行仿真,从而提出反映航线网络稳定性的指标熵,来度量系统发生失稳行为的不确定性.结果表明,用熵作为反映航线网络系统运行稳定性的指标是可行的,若熵不为0,则系统失稳,发生航班延误;熵越大,发生航班延误的可能性越大,越容易导致航班延误的波及.
英文摘要：
Based on the thought of adaptive agent digraph,combine the actual characteristics of the airline network,take flight delay as a breakthrough point,the stability of airline network system is studied,and the simulation analysis is carried out on network instability focus on the scenario for a particular kind typhoon.Then the indicator of entropy is proposed to reflect the stability of the airline network and to measure the uncertainty of system instability.The results show that it is feasible to take entropy as the indicator to reflect the stability during the process of system operation of the airline network.System instability occurs and flights are delayed if the entropy is not zero.When entropy increases,the possibility of flight delay increases,and it is more likely to lead to the propagation of flight delays.
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