中文摘要：

研究表明：制造业对GDP增长的贡献是不可估量的。我们以德宏人均GDP、产业结构、城市化率等近10年间时间序列数据为依据,研究德宏＂十二五＂期间工业化发展阶段。运用了钱纳里的工业化阶段理论、库兹涅茨的产值结构和就业结构理论、霍夫曼工业结构理论等对德宏的主要指标进行分析,预测＂十二五＂期间德宏的工业化阶段及其特征,最后提出走新型工业化的论断。

英文摘要：

Manufacturing contributes greatly to the increasing of GDP.Putting per capita GDP,industrial structure and urbanization rate as the time-series data of the last decade,this paper analyzes the stages of Dehong industrial development during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan period from the Chenery stage theory of industrialization,the Kuznets＇s theory of output and employment structure,and Hoffman theory of industrial structure;then makes a forecast of the industrial stage and its characteristics during the Dehong Twelfth Five-Year Plan period,and proposes the road of new type industrialization in Dehong.