鉴于云南金属硅在全国硅产品市场上具有重要地位,德宏州金属硅对于云南省硅产业发展有重要贡献,以德宏州工业硅为典型案例,借助邓聚龙灰色产业关联分析模型,分别对德宏州2007—2011年的工业总产值与制糖、工业硅、水泥、电解铝4大行业的总产值关联度以及近两年来制糖、工业硅、水泥3大高能耗产业综合能耗与工业能耗之间的关联度进行分析,从而得出德宏州工业硅产值与工业产值关联度显著、工业硅能耗与工业能耗关系密切的结论,并在此基础上提出应加大工业硅发展力度、硅产业由外延发展向内涵发展转变、走可持续发展之路的建议。
The metal silicon of Yunnan Province accounts for a major percentage in domestic sili- con market, and that in Dehong Prefecture contributes greatly to the development of silicon in- dustry in Yunnan. Taking the industrial silicon in Dehong Prefecture as an example with the help of Deng Julong's grey industrial analysis model, this paper analyzes the local industrial outputs from 2007 to 2011, the relation of the four local pillar industries of sugar, industrial silicon, ce- ment, and aluminum in the past two years, and the correlation between the overall energy con- sumption in sugar, industrial silicon and cement and that of all industries. It concludes that the industrial silicon product in Dehong and its overall industrial output, and the energy consumption of silicon industry and the total industrial energy consumption, are closely related to each other. On such a basis, it proceeds,'to suggest that we should strengthen the development of local indus- trial silicon, and change the mode of development to adhere to the way of sustainable develop- ment.