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黄河上游过去1234年流量的树轮重建与变化特征分析
  • 期刊名称：科学通报
  • 时间：0
  • 页码：3236-3243
  • 分类：P338[天文地球—水文科学;水利工程—水文学及水资源;天文地球—地球物理学]
  • 作者机构：[1]兰州大学西部环境教育部重点实验室,西部环境与气候变化研究院,兰州730000, [2]中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室,兰州730000
  • 相关基金：国家自然科学基金（40971119）、国家自然科学基金创新群体项目（40721061）、国家重点基础研究发展计划（2009CB421306）、中国科学院“百人计划”（290827811）和高等学校学科创新引智计划（B06026）资助项目
  • 相关项目：祁连山区三大内陆河流域水文、气候变化历史研究
作者： 勾晓华|邓洋|陈发虎|杨梅学|方克艳|高琳琳|杨涛|张芬|
关键词： 黄河上游, 流量变化, 树木年轮, 重建
中文摘要：

利用青海省阿尼玛卿山地区祁连圆柏树轮宽度年表资料,分析树木生长与黄河上游唐乃亥水文站平均流量的关系,结果表明前一年8月到当年7月的平均流量与当年轮宽密切相关,相关系数为0.656,在此相关关系的基础上,重建了黄河上游过去1234年以来的流量变化.经11年滑动平均后曲线,定义流量低于均值1个标准差的时段为枯水期,流量高于均值1个标准差的时段为丰水期.在重建的黄河上游过去1234年流量变化中存在18个丰水期和12个枯水期,丰水期主要分布时段为：846～873年、1375～1400年,枯水期主要分布时段为：1140～1156年、1295～1309年、1473～1500年、1820～1847年.其中15世纪末是过去1234年以来黄河上游流量最低的时段,该时期青藏高原东北部发生了大范围的干旱现象.重建的流量变化包含较多的低频信息,枯水期与都兰、乌兰、德令哈等地树轮资料和其他代用指标记录的干旱期一致.多窗谱分析表明黄河流量变化存在2～5年,22年,35～38年,55～62年和114～227年左右的周期,其中最显著的是159和36年的周期.

同期刊论文项目
祁连山区三大内陆河流域水文、气候变化历史研究
期刊论文 32
青藏高原和中东亚干旱区环境变化与地表过程研究
期刊论文 270 会议论文 2 获奖 4
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