中国服务业的快速发展需要深入探讨服务业资本利润变动及其规律。本文通过提出四个假说,构建了中国服务业经济增长、技术进步、市场化水平、服务贸易增长与服务业资本利润率变动的分析框架,并采用1978-2007年的权威统计数据进行实证。计量结果表明:服务业经济增长、技术进步、市场化水平、服务贸易发展与服务业资本利润率之间均存在较为稳定的正相关关系,其中,市场化水平、技术进步对改善服务业资本利润率水平作用更加显著。文章最后提出了简短结论及对策。
The rapid development of China' s service industry requires depth discussion in the change of service capital profits and its regularity. This paper puts four hypotheses to build the analytical framework among the service economic growth, technological advances, marketization level, service trade growth and service capital profits rate, and take advantage of the authoritative empirical statistical data from 1978 - 2007 to test. The results show that: there is a stable positive correlation among the service economic growth, technological progress, marketization level, service trade development and service capital profits rate, in which the marketization level and technological progress have more significant impact on the improvement of the level of the service capital profits rate. At last, we present a brief conclusion and give some advices.