在大力推进农业现代化的背景下,探讨农地流转对农户家庭经济效应的影响,为农户权益保障提供参考。采用二值选择Bivariate Probit模型分析农户参与农地流转行为的影响因素,并根据农户家庭经济收支状况,利用Match模型评估农地流转行为给农户家庭带来的经济效应。研究结果表明:(1)农户家庭劳动力比重、受教育程度、人均耕地、农田生态环境等资源禀赋是影响农地流转的关键因素;(2)地区经济发展水平与农地规模经营相辅相成、互相促进,能够有力推动农业现代化建设;(3)农地转入或转出对农户家庭经济效益并未产生决定性影响,农户根据家庭实际选择恰当的农地流转方式才能有效提升家庭经济福利水平。建议着力完善农地流转市场机制和农村社会保障制度,借助市场力量实现土地经营权有序流转,切实尊重农户意愿及保障农户权益。
Under the background of that agricultural modernization has been vigorously promoted, the analysis of how farmland transfer influences the economic effect of farm households can provide the reference for the guarantee of farmers' rights and interests. A Bivariate Probit Model was set up to analyze the influencing factors of farmers' farmland transfer,and then according to the income and expenditure of peasant households, a Match Model was set up to estimate economic effect of peasant households. The results were as follows: Firstly, farmland transfer was significantly influenced by percentage, age, education level of the labor, the per capita share of farmland and the ecological environment of farmland of peasant households. Secondly, regional economic development and farmland large-scale operation were mutually improved and agricultural modernization was effectively promoted by their combination. Thirdly, the economic effect of peasant households was not decided by farmland transfer, the economic effect of peasant households can be improved only when the suitable mode of farmland transfer was chosen by farmers based on their own actual condition. We suggested to focus on improving the mechanism of farmland transfer market and rural social security system, achieving the orderly circulation of land management rights by using the power of market, and respecting farmers' willingness and guarantee the rights and interests of farmers.