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中文摘要：
探索不同学科数量发展变化与科学会聚发展趋势的相关关系，有利于更好地理解科学会聚发展的机理与趋势，为促进新兴前沿交叉学科的形成与发展，提供重要的定量支撑。基于科学会聚发展的理论，和1900--2014年间的SCI—E与SSCI论文数据，对全球百年不同学科数量的发展变化与科学会聚发展趋势的相关性进行了实证分析，揭示了二者具有高度的正向相关性。研究中的测度方法与指标具有比较广泛的应用性，实证分析结果对推进前沿新兴学科的交叉发展决策具有重要的支撑作用。
英文摘要：
Exploring the correlation between the number of subjects change and the development of scientific convergence, will help us understand the developing mechanism and trend of science and technology convergence,it will provide an important quantitative support for the formation and development of emerging frontier cross-discipline. Based on the theory of development of scientific convergence,and collecting data from 1900--2014 of SCI-E and SSCI papers,we carried out empirical research about relevance of the centennial development of the global number of subjects change and the trend of development of scientific convergence, and revealed a highly positive correlation. The measuring method and indicators can be used in other research fields widely, the results of empirical analysis will play an important supporting role for advancing the development decision of emerging frontier cross-discipline.
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