在地震地质背景研究的基础上,运用神经网络理论中改进的BP算法对三峡水库诱发地震强度进行了预测研究。预测结果表明,秭归盆地高桥断裂近库段有可能诱发Ms〉6.0级的地震,可能诱发4.5
Based on the study of the background of seismic geology, we predicted the intensity of the Three Gorges reservoir-induced earthquake by improved BP model of neural network. The results show that the earthquakes of Ms 〉 6.0 will occur probably in the section of Zigui basin and Gaoqiao faults, the earthquakes of 4.5 〈 Ms 〈 6.0 will occur probably in the section of Miaohekou-Jiuwanxi, Jiuwanxi-lukouzi fault, the north bank of Qutang gorge, near the west of the Daninghe, Xiannv mountain faults, far off the of Gaoqiao fault and the south of Badong limestone area, the earthquakes of 3.0 〈 Ms 〈 4.5 will occur probably in the Badong-Guandukou sand-shale stone area and the south of Badong limestone area, and those Ms 〈 3.0 in other sections.