将两部门模型拓展应用到战略性新兴产业对传统产业溢出效应的研究中,构建了计量经济模型并从“整体”、“区域”和“行业”三维度建立了多视角分析框架,以31个省(市、区)2007~2011年的面板数据,实证检验了战略性新兴产业对传统产业的溢出效应的存在性及强度大小。实证结果发现,战略性新兴产业对传统产业具有显著溢出效应,但存在一定的滞后期;同时,不同地区和不同新兴产业的溢出效应存在较大差异。最后提出了相关政策建议。
This paper applies two-sector model theory to build economic model of spillover effects between emerging industries and traditional industries. Econometric model was constructed and a multi-angle analysis framework was built from three dimensions-national,provincial and specific areas of emerging industries. With the panel data of 31 provinces (cities, regions) in China, analyzes and tests the existence and intensity of spillover effects of emerging industries on traditional industries. The result shows that emerging industries have a significant spillover effects on traditional industries, but there is a certain lag period. There are differences in spillover effects of emerging industries on traditional industries is different regions and specific industries. According to these results, it puts forward relevant policy recommendations.