技术预见是生物医药产业共性技术研究领域的一个重要议题,技术路线图是当前应用广泛、效果显著的技术预见工具。在推动生物医药产业发展过程中,通过技术路线图的制定与实施,能够提高技术预见活动的准确度,把握产业共性技术发展规律,整合技术资源且规避技术投资风险。本文采用专利地图分析法对我国生物医药产业的共性技术进行遴选后,导出其几种发展趋势,绘制了我国生物医药产业在近期(2012—2013年)、中期(2014—2017年)和远期(2018—2025年)的共性技术综合路线图。
Technology foresight is an important issue in the research of bio -medicine industrial generic technology. In current, technology roadmap is a widely used and significant technology foresight tool. In the process of promoting the development of bio - medicine Industry, formulation and implementation of technology roadmap can help to improve the technology foresight accuracy, grasp the law of development of industrial generic technology, integrate technology re- sources and avoid the risk of technology investments. After the industrial generic technology selection of bio - medicine industry using patent map, the paper derived several development trends, then drew the industrial generic technology roadmap of Chinese bio - medicine industry which contains the near future ( 2012 - 2013 ), medium ( 2014 - 2017 ) and far period(2018 - 2025).