全要素生产率(TFP)是一个国家或地区经济增长质量和技术进步、管理效率提高的重要标志。运用空间统计的Moran指数以及空间计量经济学的地理加权回归(Geographical Weighted Regresskm)模型方法,基于2003年中国31个省、直辖市和自治区的工业企业统计数据,埘省级区域工业全要素生产率进行了测算分析。全要素生产率实证测算分析结果发现,空间Moran指数可测算省域工业生产率的空间效应,地理加权回归模型也可将影响省域全要素生产率的来源分解成各省域的局部影响,空间计量经济学模型在计量检验和测算我国31个省域工业全要素生产率中具有较好效果。
Total Factor Produetivity(TFP) is an important symbol of national and regional economic growth and technological progress. Spatial Moran index of autocorrelation and geographical weighted regression( GWR)model are used to test the spatial effects and analyze the industrial TFP of China's 31 provincial regions in 2003. The geographical weighted regreression model of spatial econometric estimation can decompose the sources of total factor productivity into every region's local effects, and the positive estimating results of spatial econometric models are better than that of OLS model.