中文摘要：

本文采用我国1978—2014年的数据，研究了工业化与城镇化对农业现代化的影响。通过构建指标体系，采用主成份分析法确定了工业化水平、城镇化水平与农业现代水平的变量数值，并通过序列平稳性检验、协整检验、向量误差修正模型、向量自回归模型等方法分析了工业化水平、城镇化水平与农业现代水平之间的关系。研究结果表明：我国的城镇化水平和农业现代化水平之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系，城镇化水平的提高能够促进农业现代化水平的提高；我国的工业化水平与农业现代化水平之间也具有很强的相关性，前期的工业化水平对当期的农业现代化水平产生了正向影响。

英文摘要：

According to the data from 1978 to 2014, we study the impact of industrialization and urbanization on rural modernization. Through setting up indicator system, this paper adopts main component analysis method to determine the value of the variables of industrialization level, urbanization level and agricultural modernization level, and it analyzes the relationship among them by the methods of series stationarity test, co-integration test, vector error correction model and vector auto-regression model. The results suggest that： there is a long stable equilibrium relationship between the urbanization level and agricultural modernization level in China, the improvement of the former will improve the latter; there is strong relations between industrialization level and agricultural modernization level, and that the former at the previous stage has positive impact on the latter at the current stage.