本文首先在绿色制造模式实施过程特点及影响因素系统动力学分析的基础上,建立了基于微分方程的绿色制造竞争扩散模型。然后,讨论了竞争扩散模型的稳定性,模型参数对扩散过程的影响,给出了相关结论。最后,为了得到更合理的模型参数,提出了扩散模型的参数辨识方法,得到模型中参数的最优值,并说明了模型的应用及调控策略。该研究揭示了绿色制造模式的扩散行为,提供预测先进制造模式未来发展的定量方法,及政府调控的理论依据。
First,based on the analysis of the system dynamics and diffusion characteristics,the competition diffusion model of green manufacturing mode is established.Second,the stability of the model,as well as the influence of parameters is analyzed,and the related results are given.Finally,the parameter identification method of competition diffusion model based on genetic algorithm is proposed,then,the optimal values of parameters in the model are obtained and the application of this model is explained.This research discloses the diffusion rules of the advanced manufacturing modes,lays a foundation for predicting the implementation of advanced manufacturing modes,and provides the basis for government regulation.