中国旅游业发展质量的好坏关系着旅游业长期可持续发展的问题。文章从旅游业投入产出效率和旅游业运行质量两个层次出发,采用2000—2013年省际面板数据对旅游业发展质量的时序特征和地区差异进行了分析,结果表明:(1)2000—2013年近十年间我国旅游业效率值呈现明显的上升态势,但区域差距仍然存在。但从省区整体来看,我国旅游业总体处于中低层次。(2)2000—2013年旅游业的稳定性呈现大起大落的态势,产业忽冷忽热的现象明显。同时中西部地区的稳定性相比旅游业发展相对成熟的东部地区要差很多;在旅游业协调性方面,我国旅游业近十年间供给滞后于需求,相关旅游产品供给体系无法满足不断增长的旅游需求。
The quality of tourism development in China is closely connected with the tourism sustainable development. From the perspectives of the efficiency of tourism and operational quatity of tourism industry, this paper uses Chinese cross-provincial panel data from 2000-2013 to analyze the temporal characteristics and regional differences of the quality of tourism development. The results showed that: (1) From 2000 to 2013, nearly ten years, the efficiency value of China's tourism showed a significant upward trend, but the regional gap still exists. Especially, the overall of China's tourism industry is in the low-middle level. (2) The stability of tourism industry changed radically from 2000 to 2013, and the fluctuating phenomenon is obvious. At the same time, the stability of the tourism industry in Midwest regions was significantly worse than in the eastern region; in the coordination of the tourism industry, the supply of tourism industry could not meet the demand within the ten years, and the related tourism product supply system could not meet the growing demand.