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中文摘要：
依据本底趋势线理论，采用个案研究方法，从事件的来源、性质、大小及对旅游业的影响程度等方面，分析了30年来7次突发性危机事件对我国旅游业发展的影响。结果发现：①在所搜集的7次突发性危机事件中，以1989年北京的6．4风波和2003年SARS危机对中国旅游业影响最大；②国际客源市场整体性人为事件，影响范围较大，对旅游业的冲击较强；国际客源市场局部性人为事件，影响范围较小，冲击力较弱；③目的地整体性人为事件，影响范围大，对旅游业的冲击强，且影响时间较长；目的地整体性自然灾害事件，影响范围大，对旅游业的冲击强，但影响时间较短；目的地局部性自然灾害事件，影响范围小，仅对受灾地区的旅游业有重大影响；④国际客源市场事件，一般只对入境旅游业有影响，对国内旅游的发展没有影响，而目的地整体性事件则对该目的地国内和入境旅游都有着重大的影响。
英文摘要：
Based on the theory of natural trend curve, influences of seven crises in late 30 years to China＇s tourism are analyzed. Based on this, impacts of the seven crises to China＇s tourism are compared mutually from their erupting reasons, their natures, and extents of their impacts to tourism and so on. Results are as followed： ①impacts of the political disorder in Beijing in 1989 and the SARS in 2003 to China＇s tourism are the strongest in the seven crises. ②The influenced scope of man-made crisis erupting in the whole international tourist market is often larger, and its impact to tourism is stronger.③The influenced scope of man-made crisis and last for a longer time erupting in the whole destination is large, its impact to tourism is strong.④Generally, crisis erupting in the international tourist market often affects the inbound tourism, but it has on influence on the development of domestic tourism, domestic and inbound tourism are often both affected by crisis erupting in the whole destination.
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