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中文摘要：
本文针对＂等待时间法＂余震预测模型在拟合过程中未考虑系数矩阵的随机误差的问题,利用总体最小二乘方法进行该模型的拟合,并将该方法应用于尼泊尔地震及其它震例的强余震预测。结果表明,运用总体最小二乘方法进行的＂等待时间＂余震序列拟合和预测所得结果精度比传统的方法在总体上有一定的提升。
英文摘要：
As for the problem that the random errors of coefficient matrix are not considered by the prediction model of aftershock ＂waiting time＂in the fitting process,this paper puts the total least squares method into the use of the fitting process and applies it to the prediction of aftershocks of Nepal earthquake and other strong earthquakes. The results show that the precision of the fitting and prediction is better than the traditional method on the whole.
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