中文摘要：

利用Granger因果关系检验、脉冲响应与方差分解方法，基于1995--2013年的安徽省样本数据，通过构建VAR模型对安徽省碳排放与物流业之间的动态响应关系进行实证研究。结果表明：物流业发展是碳排放量增加的格兰杰原因；安徽省物流业发展水平的迅速提高，引起能源消耗量的快速增加，使碳排放量不可避免地增加；但物流业发展水平达到一定阶段之后，人们的环保意识逐渐加强，碳排放量会出现下降。根据以上结论，提出促进物流产业低碳化发展的对策建议。

英文摘要：

This paper utilized Granger causality test, impulse response function, variance decomposition method, based on the sample data of 1995 -2013 in Anhui Province, by constructing a VAR model to analyzed the dynamic response relationship between carbon emissions and the logis- tics industry in Anhui Province. The results showed that：The development of the logistics industry was Granger cause of increased carbon emissions. The level of development of the logistics industry in Anhui Province was rapidly increasing, causing a rapid increase in energy consumption, the carbon emissions would inevitably increase, but the level of development of the logistics industry to a certain stage, the gradual strengthening of people＇s con- sciousness of environmental protection, carbon emissions would decline. According to the above conclusions, countermeasures and suggestions were put forward to promote the development of low carbon industry.