自然灾害一直伴随着人类社会的生产、生活与发展,气象灾害尤甚.据中国气象局资料统计,在各类自然灾害中,气象灾害损失大约占到70%以上.本文在对中国气象灾害时空分布及趋势分析的基础上,运用中国31个省(市)2004-2013年的气象灾害数据及次年社会经济数据,分析了气象灾害对各省(市)次年经济增长的影响,结果表明以直接经济损失和受灾人口为度量的气象灾害,短期内,会对各省第二年GDP增长率产生较为显著的正面影响,这种正面影响受到城市化率、开放程度、教育水平、交通状况、医疗卫生水平等社会经济因素的影响.
Natural disasters especially meteorological disasters can lead to considerable fatality andeconomic loss. Statistics from The Chinese Meteorological Administration indicates that loss due tometeorological disaster accounts for 70% or more of alltrends of such losses are analyzed in the present paper.natural disasters. The spatial distribution and temporalThe effect of meteorological disaster on macro-economicgrowth is examined based on social economic data and meteorological disaster data in 31 provinces in China from2004-2013. Loss due to meteorological disasters has been found to have significant positive effect on economicgrowth rate in the following year at the province level. Such a positive effect is influenced by social andeconomic factors, including urbanization rate, government size, openness, education level, traffic and level ofmedical services.