中文摘要：

本文使用DEA-Malmquist生产率指数法测算了1978-2007年中国27个省份服务业全要素生产率（TFP）的变动。结果表明：中国服务业TFP总体呈下降态势,这主要源于技术进步率的倒退;与1978-1992年相比,1993-2007年服务业TFP的下降幅度增大;西部地区的下降幅度小于中、东部地区。服务业TFP不存在σ收敛,而存在绝对和条件β收敛,1992年后β收敛速度快于1992年之前的收敛速度。Tobit回归表明,城市化、消费需求和市场化对服务业TFP的提高有促进作用,而对外开放对其影响不显著。

英文摘要：

Using DEA-Malmquist productivity index based on DEA,we compute total factor productivity（TFP） change of service industry for 27 provinces in China during 1978-2007.Our analysis indicates：the overall TFP of China＇s service industry shows a downward trend,mainly due to the low rate of technology progress,and the decline degree in western region is less than that in eastern and middle regions.Compared with 1978-1992,the TFP decline rate between 1993 and 2007 increases.There is no σ convergence in TFP of China＇s service industry,but exists the absolute and conditional β convergence,and the speed of β convergence after 1992 is faster than that before 1992.Tobit regression shows that urbanization,consumption and marketization have promotional impact on TFP of China＇s service industry;however,the impact from the opening is proved to be insignificant.