基于长江经济带中上游地区8省市、83个城市2004-2014年面板数据,采用生态DEA模型测度长江经济带中上游地区生态效率,对其演化趋势作收敛性检验;采用面板Tobit模型探究产业转移对长江经济带中上游地区生态效率的影响。结果显示:长江经济带中上游地区生态效率呈波动上升态势,且内部差异显著,但收敛趋势明显;承接产业转移并未损害长江经济带中上游地区整体生态效率,但对中游地区生态效率负向作用显著;国内产业转移为产业转移的主体,主导着产业转移的生态效应;国际产业转移对长江经济带中上游地区生态效率提升具有不利影响,"污染天堂"假说得到证实。要进一步推动长江经济带中上游地区绿色承接产业转移,提升长江经济带中上游地区生态效率,必须重点推行"绿色GDP"政绩考核体系、建设"产业转移绿色承接示范区"、建立健全流域生态补偿机制。
Based on the panel data of 8 provinces and 83 cities in the middle and upper reaches of the Belt from 2004 to 2014,the paper measured the eco-efficiency of the Reaches by eco-DEA model, tested its convergence and studied the influence of the shift has on it by panel Tobit model. The results suggest that.. Eco-efficiency presents an ascending trend with fluctuations, and the reaches's inner parts eco-efficiency is much different, but there exists an obvious trend of convergence. The shift doesn't harm the Reaches eco-efficiency as a whole, but causes apparent bad impact on the middle reaches. The domestic industrial transfer is the main body of the shift, which dominates the effect's direction of the shift has on the Reaches' eco-efficiency. The international industrial transfer has a negative influence on the Reaches' eco- efficiency,which proves the Pollution Haven Hypothesis is true. To undertake the industrial transfer greenly and improve the Reaches' eco-efficiency, we must strengthen the construction of ecological civilization system, practice the concept of political achievements of green GDP, set up demonstration zones of undertaking industrial transfer greenly, establish and perfect ecological compensation mechanism and so on.