从产业发展史来看,各时代都有各自的战略性新兴产业.由理论分析可知战略性新兴产业属于战略产业演化过程中的初级阶段,战略性新兴产业在产业内外因素的推动下逐渐演化为主导产业.结合产业演化理论、产业生命周期理论和对英国汽车产业、美国信息技术产业的回溯研究发现,战略性新兴产业作为战略产业的初级阶段,其生命周期因受产业内外不同因素不同程度的影响而表现出“增长—放缓—增长”、“增长—停滞—增长”或“增长—下滑—增长”的震荡期.研究结果还表明产业外部环境、政府扶持、产业创新、产业平台、风险控制以及产业链/产业集群的培育是战略性新兴产业成功演化发展的关键要素,这些要素通过相互协同共同促进了战略性新兴产业向主导产业的成功演化和升级.
From the perspective of the industrial development history,strategic emerging industries aren' t new things,which mean that every era has its own strategic emerging industries.Based on lifecycle theory and industrial evolution theory,we analysis the developing process of the automobile industry of United Kingdom and the information technology industry of American.The analysis results showed that,as the primary stage of strategic industries,the lifecycle of strategic emerging industries undergo the vibrating period because of the impacts of different factors,such as:"Zooming-Slow down-Zooming","Zooming-Cease-Zooming","Zooming-Declining-Zooming".And the key successful factors that influence the evolution of strategic emerging industries contain industrial environment,government support,industrial innovation,industrial platform,risk control and the cultivation of the industrial chain and industrial cluster,which facilitate the evolution of strategic emerging industries synergistically.