北极航线具有重要的战略价值和商业价值,从小的范围来说,北极航线的开通将对海运格局产生重大影响,从大的范围来说,北极航线的开通将对世界经济格局产生重大影响.在这个背景下,首先根据过去各种腹地的类型和定义提出了北极航线经济腹地的概念并阐明了北极航线经济腹地划分的意义.然后分析了以往文献对腹地划分问题的研究方法及北极航线腹地划分问题的特殊性,并基于断裂点概念模型和场强模型对北极航线经济腹地范围和等级做出具体划分.最后,根据世界经济格局发展动态分析了腹地的演化趋势,并提出了中国的应对策略.研究成果能够对中国的北极航线战略制定提供科学依据.
The Arctic route has important strategic value and commercial value. When it is opened, the shipping pattern and the world economic pattern will be influenced. Under this background, firstly, put forward the concept of the Arctic route' economic hinterland and clarify the research significance. Then, we divide its range and grade based on the concept of breaking point model and field intensity model. Finally, we analyze the evolution trend of the hinterland according to the dynamic world economic pattern and put forward the coping strategies of China. Research results will provide a scientific basis for the formulation of Chinese strategy to the Arctic route.