根据"坚持以人为本,全面、协调、可持续的发展观"的科学发展观的内涵,根据经济发展速度、经济发展质量及可持续发展等六个评价准则构建了经济评价指标体系。用客观赋权的熵值法和主观赋权的三角模糊法组合确定指标最优权重,建立了基于组合赋权的经济综合评价模型,并采用中国10个副省级城市的截面数据进行实证分析。本文的创新与特色一是通过对可持续发展和经济结构等准则层的指标评价,反映科学发展观全面协调可持续的基本要求。二是通过利用一个指标与另一个指标分值离差平方和最大原则,使各评价对象的多属性综合评价值尽可能分散、以便更清晰地体现指标对比的差异。改变了现有组合赋权研究中的由于平均赋权而导致指标差异不明显的状况。研究结果表明,根据我国10个典型副省级城市的截面数据、在指标分值离差平方和最大原则下建立优化模型,得到的主、客观权重分别为0.471和0.529。三是通过组合赋权,既保留了熵值法等客观赋权对实际情况的真实反映和对未来因素的推测、又反映了三角模糊等主观赋权所体现的指标属性对评价的重要程度和专家的知识与经验。四是对GDP增长率等适中型指标用偏离最优值的程度评分,解决了现有评价片面认为这些指标越大越好或越小越好的不合理问题。五是根据对我国10个副省级城市经济评价状况有针对性地提出了政策建议。
According to the connotation of insisting on human-oriented,comprehensive,coordinated and sustainable development,this paper constructs the comprehensive economic evaluation index system according to the six valuation standar ds at the speed of economic development,the quality of economic development,the sustainable development etc.Through determining the optimal weights of indicators by combining entropy method and triangle fuzzy method optimally,this paper establishes the comprehensive evaluation model of economy and analyzes the development of China's 10 sub-provincial cities.The contribution characteristics lie in five aspects.Firstly,it reflects the claim of Scientific Outlook on Development— "comprehensive,coordinated and sustainable development",and evaluates the indicators about sustainable development and economy's structure.Secondly,through the principle of sum of deviation square in largest between one indicator and other indicators,it makes the evaluation value scatter as far as possible,which can clearly reflect the difference in the indicator contrast.It changes the situation that existing methods make differences unconspicuous because of evenly empowering.The result shows that the subjective and objective weight is 0.471and 0.529 based on the principle of sum of deviation square in largest from the data of China's 10 typical sub-provincial cities.Thirdly,through portfolio empowering,it not only retains the entropy method which reflects the actual situation and speculates the future of factors,but also retains the subjective empowering,such as triangle fuzzy method,which embodies the importance of expert knowledge and experience.Fourth,it solves the irrational problems in existing evaluations which believe that the larger these indicators'value is,the better,or the smaller the better,and decide the ideal value standards of moderate indicators such as GDP growth rate.Fifth,this paper gives an empirical analysis and specific policy proposals for China's 10 sub-provincial cities'econo