中文摘要：

本文以三次经济普查中的行业从业人员数据为基础,用2002、2005和2007年的投入产出表分析研究我国42个行业的就业弹性、就业乘数,并分解出各因素对2002-2007年期间就业增长的贡献。结果表明：稳定就业以传统制造业和社会服务业为基础,扩大就业以高新技术制造业和新兴服务业为主;资源垄断性行业劳动成本上升较快,提高劳动收入不利于就业,而传统服务业中的低工资行业提高劳动收入不会减少就业;加快资源性垄断行业和社会性服务业的改革,加强制造业和服务业之间的产业关联,扩大居民消费,特别是扩大农村居民消费,对促进就业增长有积极作用。

英文摘要：

Basing on the industrial employment data from Economic Census,the author researches on the employment elasticity,employment multiplier and decomposes the contribution of factors which affects employment growth from 2002 to 2007.The result is founded that：the stability of employment relies on traditional manufacturing and social service industry,the growth of employment relies on high technology manufacturing and productive,distributive,and resident service industry.The growth of wage in monopolistic industry will reduce employment,which will not happen in low wage service industry.The reform of monopolistic industry and social service industry,the enhancement of relation between industry and service and the promotion of consume,especial for rural residents,are help for employment growth.