采用2001-2012年农产品贸易相关数据,从规模和结构角度定性分析中国对哈萨克斯坦农产品出口贸易现状,并在此基础上运用恒定市场份额模型(CMS)实证分析中国对哈萨克斯坦农产品出口波动因素的影响程度及变动趋势.结果表明:结构效应是近年来中国对哈萨克斯坦农产品出口贸易增长的主导因素,竞争力效应和交叉效应对中国农产品出口哈萨克斯坦产生制约.
Using the data about China's agricultural products export to Kazakhstan in 2001-2012, the study analyzed the scale and structure of China's agricultural products export trade to Kazakhstan and used the Constant Market Share Model to analyze the factors influencing export and the extent of each factor. The result showed that the structure effect was the dominant factor playing positive role in promoting China's agricultural products export to Kazakhstan, while the competitive effect and residual effect restricted China's agricultural products export to Kazakhstan.