基于东部沿海地区县域1980、1990、2000和2005年的农村发展数据,分析农村经济增长的差异特征,通过构建计量经济模型进一步揭示了农村经济增长的差异成因。结果显示:东部沿海整体及各省市内部农村经济增长区域差异趋于收敛,但省际的差异逐年增大;平坦的地形有利于农村经济增长,区位条件影响经济增长的效应并不明显;农地资源丰度与农村经济增长水平存在负向关系,人力资本强化了农村经济增长差异;经济基础是决定农村发展地域差异的主要成因,产业非农化进一步扩大了区域差异;城市化对农村经济增长的效应并不显著,政策等社会因素的经济增长效应存在明显的阶段性差异。
Based on data of rural development in eastern coastal area of China over 4 time periods(1980,1990,2000 and 2005) ,the regional disparities of rural economic development on county scale and its root have been analyzed economically. The results are as follows. First,there is conditional convergence of regional disparity for the eastern coastal area as a whole and internal disparity among each province,while the intra-province disparity becomes larger and larger;Second,flat terrain,unlike location condition whose effect is not obvious,is conducive to rural economic development;Third,agricultural land resources has a negative influence on rural development,while human capital expands the regional disparities further;Forth,the economic basis is one of the main reasons causing regional disparities,so is the industrial structural transformation;Fifth,urbanization does not do help to rural development,but as to policy and other social factors,there is stage difference in promoting rural economic development.