旅游客流的时间分布特征历来是旅游研究的重点。主题公园旅游客流是一种较为独特的现象,以无锡、苏州和常州3市的主题公园为例,对这一独特旅游客流的时间分布特征及影响因素进行分析,并以向量自回归模型(VAR)估计和Granger因果检验对无锡市旅游客流变化与影视城的客流变化关系进行分析,为我国主题公园旅游客流的合理调控提供借鉴和依据。
Tourist flow in theme parks is unique and temporal characteristics of tourist flow are al- ways one of the key issues in tourist study. This paper analyzes the temporal characteristics and factors that influence tourist flow in theme parks at Wuxi, Suzhou and Changzhou. In an effort to reveal the relationship between tourist flow to theme parks and the cities where these parks are located, VAR model and Granger approach are used to test those in Wuxi and the local Movie & TV Town. Such a study can serve as references in controlling the tourist flows in theme parks of our country.