[目的]研究影响我国水禽养殖户采纳新型养殖模式的影响因素及其差异性,为养殖模式革新、新型养殖模式推广及产业支持政策制定提供理论支撑.[方法]利用国家水禽产业体系产业经济团队对北京、河北、山东、江西和重庆5省(市)养殖户的调查数据,运用ML-Binary Logit模型和差异性分析法对养殖户采纳新型养殖模式决策的影响因素进行实证研究.[结果]目前养殖户采纳新型养殖模式的意愿并不强烈,养殖户家庭劳动力人数、参与养殖人数、年养殖批次、距中心城区距离和是否临近河湖等对其新型养殖模式采纳行为影响显著.经营方式差异下,参与养殖人数对兼业经营养殖户采纳新型养殖模式的决策具有显著正向效应,而距中心城区距离的远近对专业经营养殖户新型养殖模式采纳行为影响最大且方向为负.自然环境差异下,区域公路等级对临近河湖地区养殖户新型养殖模式采纳行为具有显著负向效应,而距中心城区距离远近对远离河湖地区养殖户新型养殖模式采纳行为产生显著负向效应.[建议]应综合利用宣传媒介,推广新型养殖模式;开展养殖培训,培育示范小区;充分优化家庭劳动力配置,加强生产经营管理;提倡适度规模,调整生产布局;规划建设产品交易市场,完善基础设施建设,以促进我国水禽养殖业实现规模化、集约化经营.
[Objective]The influencing factors and differences affecting the waterfowl farmers to adopt new cultivation mode in China were analyzed to provide theoretical references for the innovation of cultivation mode,extension of new cultivation mode and policy-making of government.[Method]Based on questionnaires from 5 provinces,empirical research on factors influencing farmers to adopt new cultivation mode was conducted using ML-Binary Logistic model.[Conclusion]Farmers did not have a strong willingness for a new cultivation mode.The most effective factors wherein included number of family labor,number of breeders,annual breeding batch,distance to central city and distance to rivers.In addition,under different management ways,the number of breeders had great positive effects on concurrent business farmers' decisions,while the distance to central city had the biggest negative influence on the decisions of professional management farmers.Under different natural conditions,road grade had significant negative effects on the decisions of farmers near the water,while the distance to central city had significant negative effects on farmers away from water.[Suggestion]To achieve large-scale and intensive management in waterfowl industry in China,a slew of suggestions should be adopted,which included using mass media,promoting the new cultivation mode,conducting breeding training,cultivating demonstration areas,optimizing labor force allocation,strengthening production management,promoting the moderate scale,adjusting production layout,constructing products trading market and improving the construction of infrastructure.