基于2000-2011年沿海11省市入境旅游的相关指标数据,从时空差异视角揭示沿海地区入境游客消费水平、消费层次及其演变特征,采用灰色GM(1,1)模型,对沿海地区入境旅游发展态势进行预测分析.结果表明,我国沿海地区入境旅游消费水平不高,非基本资料所占总消费资料比重和入境旅游消费结构高级化指数低.为推动沿海地区入境旅游稳定、持续与快速发展,提出了相应的对策建议.
Based on 11 coastal provinces and cities related indicators data of inbound tourism between 2000--2011 year, from the perspective of time and space differences reveal coastal regions inbound tourist consumption level, consumption level and its evolution characteristics, this paper used the grey GM ( 1,1 ) model to forecast the inbound tourism development trend in the coastal areas. The results showed that the coastal areas inbound tourism consumption level was relatively not high, the proportion of the non - primitive data of total consumption was low, high - level inbound tourism consumption structure index was low. To promote the stability of the coastal areas inbound tourism sustainable and rapid development, some corre- soondin~ countermeasures and suggestions were out up.