中文摘要：

论文采用面板数据模型估计了我国制造业集聚的生产率效应，并采用空间俱乐部模型区分了各种效应的地区差别。结果表明，1988—1997年和1998—2009年两个时期，东部和中西部地区均存在显著的静态专业化效应，并且在后期东部的静态专业化效应强于中西部；在整个研究期间，东部和中西部均不存在显著的动态或静态的多样化效应；规模效应在两个时期有所差异，前期在东、中西部均不显著，后期东部存在显著的负向规模效应，而中西部存在正向规模效应，显示出过度集聚开始在东部产生了一定程度的拥塞效应。

英文摘要：

The panel data model is used to estimate the effects of agglomeration to the growth of productivity of manufacturing sector in China, and the difference of effects among regions are distinguished by spatial regime model. The results show that there is prominent static effect of specialization in the East and the Midwest from 1988 to 1997 and from 1998 to 2009, and the effect in the East is more than that in the Midwest in the second period. In the whole period, neither static diversity effect nor the dynamic one is prominent in the East or in the Midwest. The effect of scale is diverse in the two periods that it is not prominent in the East and the Midwest in the first period and prominent negatively in the East and positively in the Midwest in the second period, indicating that agglomeration maybe excessive and congestion effect is generated in the East.