运用空间回归模型,选取中国大陆31个省份2003-2011年旅游外汇收入等相关面板数据指标,实证研究了我国入境旅游经济与接待人数之间的关系.结果表明:入境旅游经济与入境旅游人数存在正相关、稳定性以及长期动态均衡关系.在相同入境旅游人数的情况下,发达地区的旅游外汇收入高于其他地区;甘肃、湖南、山西3省接待人数对入境旅游经济的影响最大;新疆、海南、甘肃、青海等地的入境旅游经济对接待人数的依赖程度极强.
Taking 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities of mainland China as regional study unit, based on tourism foreign exchange earnings in 2003~2011, the relationship between inbound tourism economy and the number of oversea visitor arrivals in China is analyzed. The results are as following: there is a positive correla- tion, stability and long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between inbound tourism economy and the number of oversea visitor arrivals. On the premise of similar number of oversea visitor arrivals, tourism foreign exchange earn- ings in developed regions are higher than those in other regions; the number of oversea visitor arrivals in Gansu, Hunan, Shanxi provinces has high influence; and there is a strong dependence in Xinjiang, Hainan, Gansu, Qinghai etc.