中文摘要：

以2003-2012年我国30个省级经济单元为研究对象，从技术进步视角出发，利用包含非期望产出的SBM模型测算各省份工业碳排放效率，运用非参数Kernel密度估计方法研究各省份出口贸易和工业碳排放效率的动态演进过程，构建空间杜宾模型进一步考察出口贸易对工业碳排放效率的影响。研究结果表明：我国东部地区的工业碳排放效率最高，依次为中部、西部地区和东北综合经济区；核密度曲线展现出口贸易整体处于上升态势，工业碳排放效率呈现双峰趋同；在考虑空间因素后，出口贸易对本地区的工业碳排放效率改善产生促进作用，但对其他地区的工业碳排放效率增长产生抑制作用，也有碍于所有地区碳排放效率的提升。

英文摘要：

This paper studies China＇s 30 provincial-level economic unit for the study, and empirical estimates industrial carbon emissions efficiency of various provinces by slacks- based measure approach from the perspective of technological progress. By analysing the dy- namic evolution of the characteristics of export and industrial carbon emission efficiency use kernel density, the spatial Durbin model further investigates effects on the export of indus- trial carbon emission efficiency. Conclusions show that the highest efficiency of industrial car- bon emission in the eastern region is higher than the central, western regions and northeast economic zone. The density curve shows the export trade is increasing overall situation, and industrial carbon emission efficiency in inter-provincial experience evolution has ＂Twin Peaks＂. Considering the spatial factors, exports improve the efficiency of the region＇s indus- trial carbon emissions.