聚焦于西班牙1996-2007年间的房地产泡沫,此次危机与西班牙前两次经历的地产泡沫有着相似的背景条件:将住房建设作为利好投机性投资。但几次泡沫供给结构却不同:此次住房供给主要为分散式,不同于以往的集中供应;旅游地产大量出现;房屋拥有型社会形成。作者认为供给结构的改变并非危机的主要原因,并提出了造成房地产泡沫的四个关键要素:符合一定条件的土地、土地规划的配合、充足的资金与可获得的土地所有权。结论是:政策的制定直接影响土地利用、发展规划、金融系统与个人资产、造成住房由使用品变为投机投资的对象、银行体系信用缺乏保障,最终导致了住房库存量陡增,大量房屋拆除事件与失业率攀升等经济和社会方面的不良影响。
This is a paper about the housing bubble in Spain between 1996-2007, pointing out that all the three real estate bubbles took place in a political and economic context favorable towards the construction of houses as speculative investment. The significant changes in the configuration of the supply is noteworthy: the huge growth of the dispersed urban supply surpassed the most traditional concentrated supply; the role of tourism as a generator of purely real estate demand stands out; home ownership experienced a spectacular overturn in the second half of the 20th century. All these could not lead to the bubble unless these four key factors are fulfilled: qualified territory, supportive urban planning, money and available land ownership. The conclusion is that the implementation of policies promoted not only the transformation of housing into goods for exchange-rather for use-but also the flowed credit from banks. The real estate bubble finally indicated its most harmful effects on economy and institution, in terms of a large quantity of unsold homes, evictions and the unemployed.