城镇化是人类社会经济发展的一种空间集聚现象,也是社会发展的必然产物,一个国家或地区的城镇化水平与其经济发展状况密切相关。基于此,以城镇人口比重衡量城镇化水平,以实际人均GDP衡量经济增长,利用1979—2013年的数据,采用协整检验、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析和预测方差分解等方法实证检验了河南省城镇化与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明:改革开放以来,尽管受到诸多因素的影响,河南省城镇化与经济增长之间仍然存在着一种长期稳定的均衡关系,在两者中,经济增长居于主导地位,而城镇化则更多的是一种伴随现象。
Urbanization, which is closely related to the economic development, is a phenomenon of spatial agglomeration, accompanying with the human social and economic development and also an inevitable outcome of human social development. In this paper, we used the proportion of urban population to measure urbanization and use the real GDP per capita to measure the economic growth. We empirically analyzed the relationship between urbanization and the economic growth in Henan province during 1979-2013 by using co-integration test, error correction model, Grainger causality test, impulse response analysis and forecast variance decomposition. The result shows that there is a long-term stable relationship between the urbanization and economic growth in Henan province since the reform and opening up. The economic growth plays a more dominant position, while urbanization is an accompanying phenomenon in economic development.