中文摘要：

服务业出口是否随着需求规模的扩大而增加？内需与外需对出口服务贸易的贡献孰大？服务业是否具有本土市场效应？针对以上问题,本文首先构建了一个包含需求在内的三维影响因素模型,从需求维度出发研究服务业出口影响因素的作用机制。其次,利用包括中国在内的24个国家2000—2012年的双边贸易面板数据并采取分位数回归方法进行实证检验,结果显示：（1）整体来看,服务业不存在本土市场效应;（2）在服务业出口初期,即在服务业出口量较小的时期,服务业具有本土市场效应;（3）在服务业出口中后期,即在服务业出口量较大的时期,服务业不具有本土市场效应。因此,适时地实施扩大内需政策有助于挖掘国内市场潜力,带动服务业的进一步出口,发挥服务业的本土市场效应。

英文摘要：

With the expansion of demand, does service trade increase？ Domestic demand and external demand, which contributes more to export of service trade？ Does the service industry have the home market effects？ To solve the above problems, firstly, this paper constructs a three-dimensional model that contains demand factor, studying how the factors influence exports of service trade. Secondly, the paper uses the method of quantile regression to analyze the bilateral trade panel date of 24 countries including China from 2000 to 2012. The results show that： （1） as a whole, service industry does not have the home market effect; （2） in the early stage of exporting, service industry has the home market effect; （3） while in the late stage of exporting, service sector does not have the home market effect. Therefore, implementing the strategy of expanding domestic demand in time will contribute to excavate the potential of domestic market, promote more exports of service trade and exert the home market effect of services industry.