在理性预期意义下对周期性破裂基本模型进行了推广,提出了周期性多步不完全破裂泡沫模型。通过数值模拟展示泡沫滋生、膨胀、破灭到再生的全过程,研究了含有泡沫的资产价格的厚尾统计特性,并给出政策性的建议。
Periodical bursting bubble model proposed by Evans under rational expectation was extended. Periodical and multi-step incomplete bursting asset bubble model is proposed, which was simulated numerically to illustrate the whole process of bubble generating, expanding, bursting and regenerating. The fat tail statistical characteristic was discussed. Some suggestions are also given.