中文摘要：

若忽略或未识别劳动力选择性转移过程农民人力资本积累率的适应性改变,就难以认可二元经济模型对中国农业现代化前景及其演化路径的有效性。当把农村居民家庭的人力资本积累率处理为选择性转移的内生变量时,对农业现代化问题的讨论,可以重新回归到刘易斯—费景汉—拉尼斯模型的原框架内进行;中国农业的现代化前景,仍是该模型所揭示的二元结构的一元化转变。新时期中国农业发展政策的要旨,是大幅度提高农民的人力资本积累率。

英文摘要：

A recognition of the effectiveness of the mode of dualistic economy on the prospect of modernization of Chinese agriculture and its path of evolution will be impossible without identification of change of the farmer＇s adaptability to the rate of accumulation in the course of transfer of selectivity of labour force.In fact,a discussion on modernization of Chinese agriculture will never return to the Lewis-John Fei-Ranis mode unless the rate of accumulation of labour force capital of farming resident families is converted to an endogenous variable.As is revealed by the Lewis-John Fei-Ranis mode,the prospect of modernization of Chinese agriculture will continually turn from a dualistic to a unitary structure.Therefore,the leading point to policies of Chinese agricultural development is to greatly raise the rate of accumulation of farmers＇ labour force capital.